As the Iran war stokes inflation and economic growth remains tepid, some experts worry about stagflation. How concerned should you be?

The "core" Consumer Price Index shows inflation is moving toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. Still, Fed officials are likely to remain cautious amid uncertainty around oil price swings emanating from the Middle East.

The United States reported steady inflation for February, but rising geopolitical tensions are complicating the outlook for markets and policymakers. Data released on March 11 by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained at 2.

Recent research has found that tariffs can reduce economic activity to a point where inflation starts to fall. But if that happens, the economy would be dealing with much bigger problems.

Gold is gaining safe-haven demand amid weak U.S. jobs data, rising oil prices, and geopolitical tensions, which are increasing market uncertainty and keeping prices supported above the key $5,000 level.

Data on consumer prices in February will inform the Federal Reserve’s deliberations over interest rates next week. Note: Data is seasonally adjusted year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index. October 2025 is missing because of the government shutdown

The conflict raging in the Middle East will test the resilience of a global economy that has already contended with wars and trade disruptions over the past year.

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter. He's written hundreds of articles breaking down complex financial topics in plain language, emphasizing the impact that economic currents would have on individuals' finances and the market.