We make picks for all 15 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 11. Welp, another week of some poor picks by yours truly. I went 7-7 for a second straight week and I’m in a funk. I was 2-1 with my high confidence picks and 4-2 with my medium confidence picks, but too many upset picks stung me as I was 1-4 with my low confidence picks.

The New England Patriots are riding a six-game winning streak into Tampa Bay against the Buccaneers. The Bucs are coming off their bye week after winning three

With the Lions, Bills and Broncos all off the board in my pool, the next best option is probably the Chicago Bears, who get to host the struggling New York Giants. Nothing about the Bears inspires confidence, but with our options low, the Week 10 choice becomes easier.

The Bills are favored by 5.5 points, according to BetMGM, with an over/under of 48. A $250 bet on Buffalo to win would net $100, while a $100 wager on Tampa Bay would return $200. Sal Maiorana writes: "This is a pick being made on faith.